Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.632971 0.741178 0.860270 1.000788 1.161760 1.340101 1.552341
2024-12-22 0.428156 0.562584 0.726073 0.938320 1.205225 1.528266 1.947219
2024-12-29 0.323149 0.472576 0.671748 0.953570 1.338412 1.841341 2.543274
2025-01-05 0.248756 0.402278 0.625097 0.966179 1.467715 2.169128 3.212742
2025-01-12 0.197903 0.351522 0.592700 0.989227 1.612184 2.537080 3.992041
2025-01-19 0.161872 0.313839 0.570381 1.020525 1.771024 2.945949 4.886805
2025-01-26 0.132532 0.279339 0.544744 1.039549 1.910877 3.342356 5.813453
2025-02-02 0.119054 0.270044 0.559788 1.128898 2.178798 3.975144 7.192249
2025-02-09 0.100695 0.246110 0.542455 1.155614 2.339924 4.448354 8.361595
2025-02-16 0.082186 0.216642 0.507680 1.141747 2.422897 4.793604 9.347970
2025-02-23 0.064369 0.183470 0.457693 1.087188 2.417906 4.976779 10.062784
2025-03-02 0.053258 0.163155 0.430886 1.075247 2.493684 5.315962 11.096560
2025-03-09 0.042579 0.141325 0.397306 1.045942 2.537525 5.615728 12.125023
2025-03-16 0.032377 0.117258 0.352520 0.982255 2.498582 5.749576 12.855848
2025-03-23 0.027504 0.107389 0.341798 0.998956 2.643350 6.282225 14.456411
2025-03-30 0.023335 0.098215 0.330683 1.012590 2.783806 6.824647 16.142300
2025-04-06 0.020167 0.091242 0.324082 1.036931 2.954396 7.454736 18.086156
2025-04-13 0.017693 0.085823 0.320769 1.069769 3.151707 8.169093 20.291308
2025-04-20 0.015294 0.079663 0.313469 1.089730 3.319147 8.834552 22.458319
2025-04-27 0.014616 0.080494 0.329621 1.183027 3.696071 10.038316 25.969557
2025-05-04 0.012834 0.075616 0.324819 1.210940 3.898849 10.843810 28.636407
2025-05-11 0.010698 0.067975 0.307853 1.196498 3.980639 11.360021 30.672342
2025-05-18 0.008422 0.058286 0.280018 1.139585 3.930046 11.535067 31.903900